Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.8% vs Kuraly 51.0% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 61.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 55.8%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 56.6%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Backlund
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Backlund
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (944)
52.6% (464)
-2.1%
Power Play
51.5% (66)
100.0% (1)
-48.5%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
46.5% (155)
+0.6%
On power play, Kuraly has a +48.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Backlund shoots left. Kuraly is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Backlund
Kuraly
Home
48.1% (636)
55.9% (322)
Away
51.4% (671)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Backlund
Kuraly
P1
45.4%
55.9%
P2
54.1%
46.7%
P3
49.2%
50.7%
OT
55.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 09:48 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |