Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.1% vs Doan 48.3% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Doan 83.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 90.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.9%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Backlund
Doan
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Backlund
Doan
Last 10: Backlund 7-3 Doan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Doan
0
5
Backlund
Doan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
8
0
Backlund
Doan
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Doan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Doan
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,231)
48.6% (451)
+1.1%
Power Play
51.5% (1,323)
46.3% (136)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (2,385)
50.0% (10)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, Doan has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Doan shoots right. Backlund is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,158).
Backlund shoots left. Doan is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Home / Away
Backlund
Doan
Home
49.8% (8,434)
48.4% (312)
Away
48.3% (8,510)
47.6% (286)
By Period
Backlund
Doan
P1
48.6%
42.8%
P2
50.3%
48.3%
P3
48.4%
53.0%
OT
44.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.6%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
49.1%
Doan
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2016 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 2 | 18:50 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 1 | 19:17 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 1 | 11:04 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 1 | 03:16 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 3 | 13:38 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 1 | 05:15 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 1 | 00:07 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 3 | 14:28 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 3 | 15:11 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 2 | 03:47 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 3 | 09:47 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Shane Doan |