Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.8% vs Blueger 48.1% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 56.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 72.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Backlund
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Backlund
Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Blueger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (944)
49.4% (265)
+1.1%
Power Play
51.5% (66)
66.7% (9)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
34.0% (50)
+13.1%
On power play, Blueger has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Backlund shoots left. Blueger is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Backlund
Blueger
Home
48.1% (636)
49.8% (215)
Away
51.4% (671)
43.1% (109)
By Period
Backlund
Blueger
P1
45.4%
46.4%
P2
54.1%
50.4%
P3
49.2%
44.8%
OT
55.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |