Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 32 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Bozak 53.4% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 48-33 in 81 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 69.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 73.8%
Neutral zone
Backlund 65.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
Backlund
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
48
(81 meetings)
33
48
Backlund
Bozak
Last 10: Backlund 2-8 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
9
23
Backlund
Bozak
32 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
9
11
Backlund
Bozak
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
15
14
Backlund
Bozak
29 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,463)
53.7% (9,596)
-4.0%
Power Play
51.5% (1,338)
55.2% (1,990)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (2,465)
48.0% (1,094)
-4.1%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,251).
Backlund shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Backlund
Bozak
Home
49.7% (8,621)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
48.3% (8,650)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Backlund
Bozak
P1
48.5%
53.2%
P2
50.3%
52.8%
P3
48.4%
54.5%
OT
45.1%
52.9%
Final 5 min
48.4%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 17:25 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 02:18 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 28, 2020 | OT | 01:45 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 28, 2020 | 3 | 11:54 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 28, 2020 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 28, 2020 | 2 | 09:28 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 28, 2020 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 28, 2020 | 1 | 06:09 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 16:15 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 13:00 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 12:55 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 08:43 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 01:59 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 00:06 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 15:09 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 1 | 16:47 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 02:08 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |