Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.8% vs Seguin 52.5% (-3.8%)
Offensive zone
Seguin 68.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 77.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 55.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Backlund
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (944)
53.2% (201)
-2.7%
Power Play
51.5% (66)
60.0% (25)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
44.4% (9)
+2.7%
On power play, Seguin has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Backlund is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Backlund shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Backlund
Seguin
Home
48.1% (636)
56.3% (126)
Away
51.4% (671)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Backlund
Seguin
P1
45.4%
44.3%
P2
54.1%
52.1%
P3
49.2%
62.5%
OT
55.6%
80.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%