Mikael Backlund vs Vincent Trocheck
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.8% vs Trocheck 56.2% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 52.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 88.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 69.5%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Backlund
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Backlund
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
Backlund
Trocheck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Backlund
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (944)
58.0% (666)
-7.5%
Power Play
51.5% (66)
64.8% (165)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
43.4% (152)
+3.7%
On power play, Trocheck has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Backlund is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Backlund shoots left. Trocheck is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
Backlund
Trocheck
Home
48.1% (636)
55.3% (436)
Away
51.4% (671)
58.1% (547)
By Period
Backlund
Trocheck
P1
45.4%
56.4%
P2
54.1%
58.7%
P3
49.2%
55.5%
OT
55.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.5%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 16:28 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 15:38 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 01:27 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |