Mikael Backlund vs Wyatt Johnston
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.8% vs Johnston 48.0% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Johnston leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnston 80.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 69.1%
Neutral zone
Johnston 61.7%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Backlund
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Backlund
Johnston
Last 10: Backlund 3-7 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Johnston
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
1
4
Backlund
Johnston
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
2
3
Backlund
Johnston
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (944)
47.3% (666)
+3.2%
Power Play
51.5% (66)
50.7% (69)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
51.4% (35)
-4.3%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Backlund is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Backlund shoots left. Johnston is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Backlund
Johnston
Home
48.1% (636)
47.5% (364)
Away
51.4% (671)
48.0% (406)
By Period
Backlund
Johnston
P1
45.4%
49.4%
P2
54.1%
46.9%
P3
49.2%
47.1%
OT
55.6%
47.1%
Final 5 min
48.5%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:20 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:13 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:02 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 09:52 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 03:11 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 00:17 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 22, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 09:25 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:28 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |