Mikael Backlund vs Wyatt Johnston
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.9%). Look for Johnston on neutral-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Johnston 49.0% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Johnston leads 17-17 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnston 50.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 55.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 51.9%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Backlund
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
17
(34 meetings)
17
17
Backlund
Johnston
Last 10: Backlund 3-7 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
5
4
Backlund
Johnston
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
7
5
Backlund
Johnston
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
5
8
Backlund
Johnston
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,463)
49.1% (2,232)
+0.6%
Power Play
51.5% (1,338)
52.5% (179)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (2,465)
44.7% (237)
-0.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,251).
Backlund shoots left. Johnston is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,999).
Home / Away
Backlund
Johnston
Home
49.7% (8,621)
49.2% (1,332)
Away
48.3% (8,650)
48.7% (1,316)
By Period
Backlund
Johnston
P1
48.5%
50.0%
P2
50.3%
48.1%
P3
48.4%
48.6%
OT
45.1%
51.5%
Final 5 min
48.4%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.0%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:20 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:13 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:02 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 09:52 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 03:11 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 00:17 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 22, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 09:25 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:28 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 11:45 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 04:40 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 14:11 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 13:43 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 00:15 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |