Mikael Backlund vs Zack Ostapchuk
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.5%). Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Ostapchuk 48.7% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 53.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 57.8%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Backlund
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Backlund
Ostapchuk
Last 6: Backlund 4-2 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
2
Backlund
Ostapchuk
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
1
Backlund
Ostapchuk
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,463)
49.1% (632)
+0.6%
Power Play
51.5% (1,338)
28.6% (7)
+22.9%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (2,465)
45.5% (66)
-1.6%
On power play, Backlund has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,020).
Backlund shoots left. Ostapchuk is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Backlund
Ostapchuk
Home
49.7% (8,621)
48.6% (329)
Away
48.3% (8,650)
48.4% (376)
By Period
Backlund
Ostapchuk
P1
48.5%
48.5%
P2
50.3%
46.4%
P3
48.4%
50.7%
Final 5 min
48.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.0%
Ostapchuk
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 07:55 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 13:49 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 11:43 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 13:03 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |