Frederick Gaudreau vs Mikael Granlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Gaudreau wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Granlund 48.9% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Gaudreau leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 93.0%
Defensive zone
Granlund 52.8%
Neutral zone
Granlund 87.5%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 75.8%
24.2%
75.8%
Gaudreau
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Gaudreau
Granlund
Last 10: Gaudreau 6-4 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
2
4
Gaudreau
Granlund
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
5
0
Gaudreau
Granlund
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (414)
48.9% (476)
-4.0%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
57.9% (107)
-26.1%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (129)
31.1% (61)
+6.9%
On power play, Granlund has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Gaudreau shoots right. Granlund is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Granlund
Home
42.6% (277)
53.3% (255)
Away
43.1% (288)
45.8% (389)
By Period
Gaudreau
Granlund
P1
44.1%
52.0%
P2
44.7%
48.6%
P3
39.5%
45.9%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Granlund
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 03:45 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 03:19 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 15:38 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:47 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 09:52 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |