Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Duchene wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 57.0% vs Granlund 48.8% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 85.8%
Defensive zone
Duchene 75.9%
Neutral zone
Duchene 76.4%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
Duchene
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Duchene
Granlund
Last 10: Duchene 7-3 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
2
3
Duchene
Granlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
0
Duchene
Granlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
0
Duchene
Granlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (527)
47.8% (959)
+8.7%
Power Play
61.6% (185)
54.7% (95)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
59.3% (27)
58.1% (31)
+1.2%
On even strength, Duchene has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Duchene is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Duchene shoots left. Granlund is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
Duchene
Granlund
Home
57.6% (403)
50.5% (548)
Away
58.3% (336)
46.7% (537)
By Period
Duchene
Granlund
P1
61.4%
51.1%
P2
58.5%
49.1%
P3
54.9%
46.6%
OT
40.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
62.1%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
57.9%
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 08:05 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 3 | 04:10 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 2 | 19:22 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 18:24 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 03:17 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 2 | 06:10 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 2 | 06:00 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 1 | 14:54 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 1 | 11:55 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |