Mikael Granlund vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 49.5% vs MacKinnon 51.0% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 65.6%
Defensive zone
Granlund 60.6%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 52.4%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Granlund
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Granlund
MacKinnon
Last 9: Granlund 2-7 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
4
Granlund
MacKinnon
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
2
Granlund
MacKinnon
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Granlund
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (493)
49.7% (1,038)
+0.0%
Power Play
58.6% (111)
63.7% (157)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
31.1% (61)
34.4% (32)
-3.3%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Granlund is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Granlund shoots left. MacKinnon is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (886).
Home / Away
Granlund
MacKinnon
Home
54.7% (276)
53.1% (618)
Away
45.8% (389)
49.1% (609)
By Period
Granlund
MacKinnon
P1
52.2%
49.3%
P2
49.3%
53.0%
P3
47.4%
50.7%
OT
45.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
49.5%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 05:26 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 03:06 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 16:05 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 10:49 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 09:17 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 08:45 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 08:39 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |