Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 49.5% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 60.4%
Defensive zone
Granlund 77.7%
Neutral zone
Granlund 62.5%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Granlund
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Granlund
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Granlund
Schmaltz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
0
Granlund
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (493)
45.9% (697)
+3.8%
Power Play
58.6% (111)
47.9% (117)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
31.1% (61)
48.0% (25)
-16.9%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Granlund is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Granlund shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Granlund
Schmaltz
Home
54.7% (276)
44.9% (434)
Away
45.8% (389)
47.7% (405)
By Period
Granlund
Schmaltz
P1
52.2%
41.5%
P2
49.3%
46.7%
P3
47.4%
51.1%
OT
45.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
49.5%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 04:33 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 02:24 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |