Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 48.6% vs Gagner 46.0% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 66.7%
Defensive zone
Granlund 50.6%
Neutral zone
Gagner 60.4%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Granlund
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
12
(21 meetings)
9
12
Granlund
Gagner
Last 10: Granlund 3-7 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
4
Granlund
Gagner
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
6
3
Granlund
Gagner
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
5
Granlund
Gagner
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,765)
45.4% (4,699)
+3.2%
Power Play
53.0% (760)
51.5% (928)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (635)
35.0% (226)
+8.6%
On penalty kill, Granlund has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Granlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,967).
Granlund shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Granlund
Gagner
Home
51.0% (3,905)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
46.4% (4,255)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Granlund
Gagner
P1
48.8%
44.6%
P2
48.7%
46.1%
P3
48.5%
47.3%
OT
43.3%
42.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
48.6%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 02:42 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 05:01 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 1 | 12:33 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 3 | 05:26 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 1 | 15:15 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 1 | 01:12 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 11, 2014 | OT | 02:04 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 3 | 12:10 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 3 | 08:52 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 2 | 05:18 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 1 | 18:26 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 12:52 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 08:13 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 01:03 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 2 | 14:20 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 2 | 08:04 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 06:05 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 1 | 08:18 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |