Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 49.5% vs Steel 50.6% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 54.5%
Defensive zone
Granlund 51.8%
Neutral zone
Granlund 54.2%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Granlund
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Granlund
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
2
Granlund
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (493)
52.5% (200)
-2.8%
Power Play
58.6% (111)
71.4% (7)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
31.1% (61)
40.0% (45)
-8.9%
On power play, Steel has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Granlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (445).
Granlund shoots left. Steel is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Granlund
Steel
Home
54.7% (276)
49.5% (109)
Away
45.8% (389)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Granlund
Steel
P1
52.2%
49.5%
P2
49.3%
47.5%
P3
47.4%
56.6%
OT
45.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
49.5%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 06:27 | Neutral | Sam Steel |