Mikael Granlund vs Steven Stamkos
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 49.5% vs Stamkos 55.4% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 60.3%
Defensive zone
Granlund 68.4%
Neutral zone
Granlund 51.8%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Granlund
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Granlund
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Granlund
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
0
Granlund
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (493)
57.1% (368)
-7.4%
Power Play
58.6% (111)
55.2% (96)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
31.1% (61)
50.0% (10)
-18.9%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Granlund is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Granlund shoots left. Stamkos is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Granlund
Stamkos
Home
54.7% (276)
53.9% (230)
Away
45.8% (389)
59.0% (244)
By Period
Granlund
Stamkos
P1
52.2%
56.7%
P2
49.3%
54.1%
P3
47.4%
59.2%
OT
45.5%
62.5%
Final 5 min
53.3%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
49.5%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 06:10 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |