Scouting Report
Mike Fisher holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fisher 51.5% vs Foligno 48.6% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 60.5%
Defensive zone
Fisher 53.5%
Neutral zone
Foligno 53.3%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Fisher
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Fisher
Foligno
Last 10: Fisher 5-5 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
2
0
Fisher
Foligno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Fisher
Foligno
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
3
Fisher
Foligno
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fisher
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (6,100)
48.3% (2,840)
+3.1%
Power Play
53.8% (1,126)
52.3% (731)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (781)
44.0% (457)
+4.8%
On penalty kill, Fisher has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Fisher is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,543).
Fisher shoots right. Foligno is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,518).
Home / Away
Fisher
Foligno
Home
52.4% (4,113)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
50.6% (3,922)
47.2% (2,017)
By Period
Fisher
Foligno
P1
49.6%
47.8%
P2
52.8%
50.5%
P3
52.2%
48.2%
OT
49.6%
29.7%
Final 5 min
50.6%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
51.5%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2015 | 2 | 15:58 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 2 | 15:50 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 2 | 11:13 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 1 | 10:20 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 1 | 05:46 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 1 | 03:40 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 1 | 13:20 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |