Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ribeiro wins 39.0% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 43.2% vs Dowd 50.7% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 78.7%
Defensive zone
Ribeiro 60.5%
Neutral zone
Dowd 71.1%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Ribeiro
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Ribeiro
Dowd
Last 5: Ribeiro 3-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Ribeiro
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
1
0
Ribeiro
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
2
1
Ribeiro
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (4,887)
52.3% (6,036)
-9.4%
Power Play
45.6% (930)
56.1% (164)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (147)
44.1% (1,638)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Ribeiro is 39.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,096).
Ribeiro shoots left. Dowd is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,158).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Dowd
Home
44.1% (3,144)
51.9% (3,917)
Away
41.9% (2,837)
49.5% (3,922)
By Period
Ribeiro
Dowd
P1
42.6%
51.5%
P2
44.3%
50.4%
P3
41.8%
50.3%
OT
49.0%
45.9%
Final 5 min
41.6%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 11:02 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 06:33 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 00:11 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 13:16 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |