Scouting Report
Troy Brouwer holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Brouwer on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Ribeiro wins 39.0% vs right-shot opponents — Brouwer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 43.2% vs Brouwer 50.5% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 82.8%
Defensive zone
Ribeiro 81.1%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 65.9%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 81.6%
81.6%
18.4%
Ribeiro
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Ribeiro
Brouwer
Last 7: Ribeiro 2-5 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
2
0
Ribeiro
Brouwer
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brouwer
0
5
Ribeiro
Brouwer
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (4,887)
50.3% (702)
-7.4%
Power Play
45.6% (930)
53.7% (551)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (147)
46.6% (412)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, Brouwer has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Ribeiro is 39.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,096).
Ribeiro shoots left. Brouwer is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,203).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Brouwer
Home
44.1% (3,144)
53.5% (854)
Away
41.9% (2,837)
47.3% (811)
By Period
Ribeiro
Brouwer
P1
42.6%
51.4%
P2
44.3%
49.3%
P3
41.8%
51.2%
OT
49.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
41.6%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 14:42 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 05:43 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 3 | 14:46 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 3 | 05:20 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 2 | 04:52 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 1 | 06:39 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 2 | 17:13 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |