Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.5% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 68.1%
Defensive zone
Richards 63.5%
Neutral zone
Richards 65.2%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Richards
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Richards
Bjugstad
Last 10: Richards 7-3 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
3
1
Richards
Bjugstad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
0
Richards
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
4
3
Richards
Bjugstad
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (3,722)
48.6% (6,646)
+1.4%
Power Play
54.6% (445)
55.2% (829)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (502)
44.3% (614)
+7.1%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Richards is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,577).
Richards shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,753).
Home / Away
Richards
Bjugstad
Home
50.8% (2,363)
49.8% (4,023)
Away
50.3% (2,336)
48.1% (4,066)
By Period
Richards
Bjugstad
P1
49.6%
48.9%
P2
52.3%
49.1%
P3
49.3%
48.5%
OT
58.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
48.8%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 10:41 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 08:55 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 12:19 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 12:16 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 02:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 1 | 17:49 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 1 | 15:06 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 1 | 14:52 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 1 | 00:55 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 16:49 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 18:29 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 3 | 08:22 | Defensive | Mike Richards |