Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 49.9%). Look for Spaling on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.5% vs Spaling 49.9% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Spaling leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 59.7%
Defensive zone
Spaling 54.7%
Neutral zone
Spaling 51.1%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Richards
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Richards
Spaling
Last 10: Richards 3-7 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
0
Richards
Spaling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
2
4
Richards
Spaling
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
0
4
Richards
Spaling
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (3,722)
50.5% (2,263)
-0.5%
Power Play
54.6% (445)
43.4% (53)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (502)
48.0% (498)
+3.4%
On power play, Richards has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Richards is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,122).
Richards shoots left. Spaling is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,835).
Home / Away
Richards
Spaling
Home
50.8% (2,363)
51.9% (1,437)
Away
50.3% (2,336)
47.8% (1,378)
By Period
Richards
Spaling
P1
49.6%
49.8%
P2
52.3%
48.3%
P3
49.3%
52.0%
OT
58.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2013 | 3 | 09:41 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 3 | 04:39 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 15:02 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 14:00 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 12:12 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 00:58 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 3 | 12:14 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 3 | 08:37 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 13:28 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 2 | 09:43 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 2 | 09:33 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |