Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.5% vs Kesler 55.9% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 30-25 in 55 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 70.1%
Defensive zone
Richards 68.7%
Neutral zone
Richards 68.9%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Richards
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
30
(55 meetings)
25
30
Richards
Kesler
Last 10: Richards 2-8 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
9
11
Richards
Kesler
20 total
Defensive Zone
Even
11
11
Richards
Kesler
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
5
8
Richards
Kesler
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (3,722)
56.4% (8,095)
-6.4%
Power Play
54.6% (445)
60.7% (1,437)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (502)
50.5% (1,908)
+0.9%
On even strength, Kesler has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Richards is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,577).
Richards shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Richards
Kesler
Home
50.8% (2,363)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
50.3% (2,336)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Richards
Kesler
P1
49.6%
56.5%
P2
52.3%
55.9%
P3
49.3%
56.1%
OT
58.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2016 | 3 | 19:44 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 2 | 19:32 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 19:17 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 05:33 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 12, 2014 | OT | 04:02 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 12, 2014 | 3 | 11:01 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Nov 12, 2014 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 12, 2014 | 2 | 14:12 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 12, 2014 | 2 | 14:07 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 12, 2014 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 18:37 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 16:49 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 13, 2014 | 3 | 11:44 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Jan 13, 2014 | 2 | 13:55 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 13, 2014 | 2 | 10:47 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 13, 2014 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 3 | 08:43 | Defensive | Mike Richards |