Mikhail Grigorenko vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikhail Grigorenko holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Grigorenko wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grigorenko 46.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 56.0%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.1%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.6%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Grigorenko
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Grigorenko
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Grigorenko 2-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Grigorenko
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Grigorenko
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grigorenko
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (1,033)
44.8% (8,775)
+0.5%
Power Play
56.0% (50)
50.6% (844)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
58.5% (65)
37.8% (880)
+20.7%
On penalty kill, Grigorenko has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Grigorenko is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Grigorenko shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,858).
Home / Away
Grigorenko
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
51.1% (567)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
42.0% (581)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
Grigorenko
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
43.8%
45.1%
P2
47.1%
43.9%
P3
48.7%
45.2%
OT
66.7%
43.2%
Final 5 min
43.7%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grigorenko
54.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2016 | 3 | 05:57 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 3 | 02:53 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 13:02 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |