Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 49.9% vs Koivu 55.8% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Paquette 61.1%
Defensive zone
Paquette 79.2%
Neutral zone
Paquette 67.5%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
Paquette
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Paquette
Koivu
Last 10: Paquette 3-7 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
3
Paquette
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
3
2
Paquette
Koivu
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Paquette
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (215)
56.6% (1,247)
-3.6%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
61.6% (344)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
41.3% (167)
-4.5%
On power play, Koivu has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Paquette is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Paquette shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,142).
Home / Away
Paquette
Koivu
Home
52.1% (167)
58.1% (850)
Away
46.6% (116)
54.3% (908)
By Period
Paquette
Koivu
P1
48.8%
55.3%
P2
51.0%
57.2%
P3
50.0%
55.1%
OT
0.0%
77.3%
Final 5 min
53.1%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
49.8%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 18:14 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 14:39 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 12:08 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 07:22 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 06:45 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 15:01 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 12:03 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 2 | 01:28 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 12:37 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |