Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Koivu wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.9% vs Zacha 42.0% (+14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 74.5%
Defensive zone
Koivu 95.2%
Neutral zone
Koivu 89.6%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 89.9%
89.9%
10.1%
Koivu
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Koivu
Zacha
Last 5: Koivu 5-0 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
0
Koivu
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
0
Koivu
Zacha
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
0
Koivu
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,219)
40.9% (399)
+14.4%
Power Play
63.5% (200)
39.5% (43)
+24.0%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (280)
26.7% (15)
+22.2%
On power play, Koivu has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Koivu is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Koivu shoots left. Zacha is 38.6% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Koivu
Zacha
Home
55.6% (846)
41.4% (261)
Away
54.9% (853)
38.8% (196)
By Period
Koivu
Zacha
P1
57.4%
38.6%
P2
55.5%
44.4%
P3
52.6%
36.9%
OT
62.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.1%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 14:15 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 08:31 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 19:19 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 06:54 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |