Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Koivu wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.0% vs Zacha 49.1% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 81.8%
Defensive zone
Koivu 86.9%
Neutral zone
Koivu 84.6%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 85.6%
85.6%
14.4%
Koivu
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Koivu
Zacha
Last 6: Koivu 5-1 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
0
Koivu
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
1
Koivu
Zacha
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
0
Koivu
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,465)
48.8% (4,953)
+5.2%
Power Play
58.6% (2,100)
55.8% (788)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (1,688)
42.0% (547)
+6.9%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Koivu shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,816).
Home / Away
Koivu
Zacha
Home
55.8% (6,577)
49.6% (3,278)
Away
52.3% (6,719)
48.5% (3,010)
By Period
Koivu
Zacha
P1
53.5%
49.9%
P2
54.6%
49.1%
P3
54.0%
47.9%
OT
56.5%
54.9%
Final 5 min
53.4%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2018 | 2 | 09:42 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 14:15 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 08:31 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 19:19 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 06:54 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |