Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Koivu wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.0% vs Thomas 51.6% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 54.0%
Defensive zone
Koivu 59.3%
Neutral zone
Koivu 53.6%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Koivu
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Koivu
Thomas
Last 7: Koivu 4-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Koivu
Thomas
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
1
Koivu
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,465)
51.1% (5,387)
+2.9%
Power Play
58.6% (2,100)
55.8% (927)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (1,688)
50.2% (697)
-1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Koivu is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,595).
Koivu shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,967).
Home / Away
Koivu
Thomas
Home
55.8% (6,577)
50.9% (3,484)
Away
52.3% (6,719)
52.3% (3,527)
By Period
Koivu
Thomas
P1
53.5%
50.7%
P2
54.6%
53.0%
P3
54.0%
50.8%
OT
56.5%
59.2%
Final 5 min
53.4%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2020 | 3 | 15:44 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 3 | 11:38 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 3 | 09:26 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 1 | 19:01 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 1 | 01:37 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |