Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 50.6%). Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Rantanen wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 50.8% vs Frost 50.6% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 78.9%
Defensive zone
Frost 85.7%
Neutral zone
Frost 56.7%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Rantanen
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Rantanen
Frost
Last 9: Rantanen 6-3 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
6
0
Rantanen
Frost
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Rantanen
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Rantanen
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,525)
49.7% (3,652)
+1.3%
Power Play
50.8% (486)
55.4% (632)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
55.0% (40)
-40.7%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +40.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Rantanen is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,228).
Rantanen shoots left. Frost is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,843).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Frost
Home
53.0% (1,067)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
48.3% (951)
49.8% (2,223)
By Period
Rantanen
Frost
P1
49.0%
51.2%
P2
51.1%
51.3%
P3
51.9%
48.8%
OT
57.8%
64.9%
Final 5 min
47.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.8%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 03:30 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 10:52 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 04:06 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 03:20 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 10:10 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:08 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |