Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Rantanen wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 49.7% vs Roy 51.9% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 73.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 84.9%
Neutral zone
Roy 59.8%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Rantanen
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Rantanen
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
1
0
Rantanen
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (47)
51.9% (547)
-3.0%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
54.1% (37)
-4.1%
On power play, Roy has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Rantanen is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (40).
Rantanen shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Roy
Home
48.4% (31)
54.0% (328)
Away
50.0% (38)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Rantanen
Roy
P1
50.0%
53.5%
P2
30.0%
51.6%
P3
72.2%
51.6%
Final 5 min
38.5%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.3%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 06:00 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |