Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Rantanen wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 49.7% vs Thomas 51.9% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 55.0%
Defensive zone
Thomas 79.0%
Neutral zone
Thomas 68.0%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Rantanen
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Rantanen
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
1
0
Rantanen
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (47)
50.3% (652)
-1.4%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
61.5% (104)
-11.5%
On power play, Thomas has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Rantanen is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (40).
Rantanen shoots left. Thomas is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Thomas
Home
48.4% (31)
52.0% (400)
Away
50.0% (38)
52.3% (476)
By Period
Rantanen
Thomas
P1
50.0%
49.6%
P2
30.0%
55.4%
P3
72.2%
51.0%
OT
42.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
38.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.3%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 10:09 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |