Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 50.8% vs Hartman 45.4% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Rantanen 89.0%
Defensive zone
Hartman 83.9%
Neutral zone
Hartman 58.1%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Rantanen
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Rantanen
Hartman
Last 10: Rantanen 5-5 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
6
1
Rantanen
Hartman
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
7
Rantanen
Hartman
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Rantanen
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,525)
45.2% (4,279)
+5.8%
Power Play
50.8% (486)
47.3% (446)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
42.4% (262)
-28.1%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Rantanen is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (790).
Rantanen shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,596).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Hartman
Home
53.0% (1,067)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
48.3% (951)
43.7% (2,398)
By Period
Rantanen
Hartman
P1
49.0%
46.1%
P2
51.1%
42.9%
P3
51.9%
46.7%
OT
57.8%
53.8%
Final 5 min
47.2%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.8%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 06:32 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 08:55 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 02:31 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 01:55 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 10:47 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 13:22 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 17:40 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 17:26 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 02:09 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 02:07 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 13:56 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 16:55 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 00:50 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |