Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Rantanen wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 50.8% vs McLeod 49.5% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Rantanen leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Rantanen 94.1%
Defensive zone
McLeod 87.2%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 61.2%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
Rantanen
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Rantanen
McLeod
Last 10: Rantanen 7-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
8
0
Rantanen
McLeod
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
3
Rantanen
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rantanen
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,525)
50.4% (3,376)
+0.6%
Power Play
50.8% (486)
50.7% (296)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
44.1% (644)
-29.8%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +29.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Rantanen is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,228).
Rantanen shoots left. McLeod is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,809).
Home / Away
Rantanen
McLeod
Home
53.0% (1,067)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
48.3% (951)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Rantanen
McLeod
P1
49.0%
50.8%
P2
51.1%
48.0%
P3
51.9%
50.0%
OT
57.8%
37.1%
Final 5 min
47.2%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.8%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 19:04 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 13:49 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 10:34 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 03:19 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 06:02 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 05:55 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 12:57 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 05:27 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 05:22 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 1 | 17:23 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 14:25 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |