Mikko Rantanen vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Rantanen wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 50.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Rantanen leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Rantanen 94.8%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 85.1%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 59.8%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Rantanen
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Rantanen
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Rantanen 5-5 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
5
2
Rantanen
Nugent-Hopkins
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
3
Rantanen
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,522)
44.9% (8,714)
+6.1%
Power Play
50.8% (484)
50.3% (829)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
37.8% (875)
-23.5%
On penalty kill, Nugent-Hopkins has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Rantanen is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,228).
Rantanen shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,805).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.0% (1,067)
46.4% (5,318)
Away
48.3% (946)
42.9% (5,112)
By Period
Rantanen
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
49.0%
45.1%
P2
51.3%
43.8%
P3
51.8%
45.2%
OT
57.8%
43.5%
Final 5 min
47.3%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
50.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 12:14 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 07:33 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 17:30 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 17:36 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 13:47 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 07:47 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 2 | 00:48 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 1 | 08:55 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 1 | 05:15 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 2 | 03:00 | Defensive | Mikko Rantanen |