Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Rantanen wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 49.7% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 54.9%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 82.0%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 71.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Rantanen
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Rantanen
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
1
0
Rantanen
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (47)
55.7% (856)
-6.8%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
57.5% (233)
-7.5%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Rantanen is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (29).
Rantanen shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Rantanen
O'Reilly
Home
48.4% (31)
55.5% (616)
Away
50.0% (38)
55.3% (617)
By Period
Rantanen
O'Reilly
P1
50.0%
58.1%
P2
30.0%
54.9%
P3
72.2%
53.9%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.5%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 02:24 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |