Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 50.4%). Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rantanen wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 50.8% vs Kuraly 50.4% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 90.2%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 92.4%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 51.5%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Rantanen
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Rantanen
Kuraly
Last 5: Rantanen 3-2 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
3
0
Rantanen
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Rantanen
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,525)
51.6% (5,161)
-0.6%
Power Play
50.8% (486)
56.4% (101)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
44.4% (1,091)
-30.1%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +30.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Rantanen is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,228).
Rantanen shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Kuraly
Home
53.0% (1,067)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
48.3% (951)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Rantanen
Kuraly
P1
49.0%
51.2%
P2
51.1%
50.0%
P3
51.9%
50.2%
OT
57.8%
52.3%
Final 5 min
47.2%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.8%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 04:49 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 1 | 13:41 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 1 | 10:33 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |