Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Rantanen wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 49.7% vs Hertl 57.5% (-8.8%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 59.6%
Defensive zone
Hertl 56.8%
Neutral zone
Hertl 54.9%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Rantanen
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (47)
58.7% (858)
-9.8%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
55.8% (285)
-5.8%
On even strength, Hertl has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Rantanen is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (29).
Rantanen shoots left. Hertl is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (736).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Hertl
Home
48.4% (31)
60.1% (599)
Away
50.0% (38)
56.1% (579)
By Period
Rantanen
Hertl
P1
50.0%
52.4%
P2
30.0%
63.9%
P3
72.2%
58.5%
OT
42.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
38.5%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.3%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
58.1%