Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Rantanen wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 53.2% vs Johnston 50.1% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 90.5%
Defensive zone
Johnston 92.1%
Neutral zone
Johnston 53.4%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Rantanen
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Rantanen
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
2
0
Rantanen
Johnston
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
2
Rantanen
Johnston
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (346)
50.7% (552)
+1.0%
Power Play
58.5% (164)
61.5% (13)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
43.5% (69)
-43.5%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +43.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Rantanen is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Rantanen shoots left. Johnston is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Johnston
Home
55.8% (258)
50.3% (342)
Away
51.8% (253)
50.0% (292)
By Period
Rantanen
Johnston
P1
50.0%
54.4%
P2
56.6%
47.2%
P3
54.3%
49.4%
OT
71.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 14:15 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 08:29 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 07:33 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 06:40 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |