Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Rantanen wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 49.7% vs Gourde 46.0% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 79.6%
Defensive zone
Gourde 71.5%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 50.2%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
Rantanen
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Rantanen
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
1
0
Rantanen
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (47)
47.2% (687)
+1.7%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
45.0% (20)
+5.0%
On power play, Rantanen has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Rantanen is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (29).
Rantanen shoots left. Gourde is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Gourde
Home
48.4% (31)
44.4% (356)
Away
50.0% (38)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Rantanen
Gourde
P1
50.0%
42.2%
P2
30.0%
50.0%
P3
72.2%
44.5%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.3%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 17:28 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |