Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +21.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Raty wins 63.4% vs right-shot opponents — Marner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.9% vs Marner 42.5% (+21.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 78.3%
Defensive zone
Raty 97.5%
Neutral zone
Raty 94.8%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 97.5%
97.5%
2.5%
Raty
Marner
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Raty
Marner
Last 6: Raty 6-0 Marner
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
6
0
Raty
Marner
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (517)
40.8% (316)
+19.7%
Power Play
72.7% (22)
40.0% (5)
+32.7%
Penalty Kill
63.4% (101)
25.0% (12)
+38.4%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +38.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Raty is 63.4% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Raty shoots left. Marner is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Raty
Marner
Home
60.2% (354)
36.0% (186)
Away
62.9% (286)
45.6% (147)
By Period
Raty
Marner
P1
56.9%
40.7%
P2
67.1%
41.0%
P3
59.5%
38.6%
Final 5 min
61.0%
41.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
62.0%▼
64.5%
61.4%
Marner
40.0%▼
41.5%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 06:19 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 06:31 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 06:24 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 14:34 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 11:37 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |