Mitch Marner vs Quinton Byfield
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Quinton Byfield holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Byfield on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Marner wins 39.3% vs left-shot opponents — Byfield shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marner 42.7% vs Byfield 45.0% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Byfield 57.4%
Defensive zone
Byfield 77.0%
Neutral zone
Byfield 68.0%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Marner
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Marner
Byfield
Last 8: Marner 5-3 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
1
2
Marner
Byfield
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marner
2
0
Marner
Byfield
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marner
2
1
Marner
Byfield
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marner
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (496)
45.4% (2,149)
-3.7%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
47.8% (113)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (65)
37.8% (230)
-2.4%
On power play, Marner has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Marner is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (399).
Marner shoots right. Byfield is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (836).
Home / Away
Marner
Byfield
Home
38.0% (321)
45.3% (1,183)
Away
45.7% (258)
44.4% (1,309)
By Period
Marner
Byfield
P1
38.7%
45.2%
P2
41.5%
43.7%
P3
45.5%
45.9%
OT
40.0%
40.5%
Final 5 min
47.6%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marner
40.0%▼
41.5%
41.5%
Byfield
54.0%▼
57.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 17:06 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 16:56 | Defensive | Mitch Marner |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 16:42 | Defensive | Mitch Marner |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 13:28 | Offensive | Mitch Marner |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 01:35 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 13:29 | Neutral | Mitch Marner |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 01:02 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | Mitch Marner |