Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Marner wins 39.3% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marner 42.7% vs Blueger 50.0% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marner 97.4%
Defensive zone
Marner 70.1%
Neutral zone
Marner 82.8%
Result
Mitch Marner favored at 83.5%
83.5%
16.5%
Marner
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Marner
Blueger
Last 5: Marner 0-5 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
2
Marner
Blueger
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
2
Marner
Blueger
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
1
Marner
Blueger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marner
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (496)
52.2% (3,582)
-10.5%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
50.6% (77)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (65)
42.7% (1,103)
-7.3%
On even strength, Blueger has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Marner is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (399).
Marner shoots right. Blueger is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,529).
Home / Away
Marner
Blueger
Home
38.0% (321)
51.3% (2,426)
Away
45.7% (258)
48.5% (2,336)
By Period
Marner
Blueger
P1
38.7%
49.2%
P2
41.5%
52.2%
P3
45.5%
48.6%
OT
40.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marner
40.0%▼
41.5%
41.5%
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 09:19 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 09:11 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 15:01 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 11:52 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |