Mitchell Stephens vs Morgan Frost
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mitchell Stephens holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephens on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephens 52.4% vs Frost 50.6% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 78.8%
Defensive zone
Stephens 84.5%
Neutral zone
Stephens 50.7%
Result
Mitchell Stephens favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Stephens
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Stephens
Frost
Last 9: Stephens 5-4 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Stephens
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
3
2
Stephens
Frost
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephens
2
0
Stephens
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephens
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (795)
49.7% (3,652)
+4.8%
Power Play
21.4% (14)
55.4% (632)
-34.0%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (178)
55.0% (40)
-7.8%
On power play, Frost has a +34.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Stephens is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (709).
Stephens shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,481).
Home / Away
Stephens
Frost
Home
54.1% (471)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
51.3% (517)
49.8% (2,223)
By Period
Stephens
Frost
P1
53.6%
51.2%
P2
50.7%
51.3%
P3
54.3%
48.8%
OT
0.0%
64.9%
Final 5 min
49.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
52.6%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 02:22 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 18:29 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 15:18 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 02:27 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 3 | 07:29 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 2 | 11:13 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |