Mitchell Stephens vs Sam Lafferty
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mitchell Stephens holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephens on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stephens wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephens 52.4% vs Lafferty 47.5% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephens 71.0%
Defensive zone
Stephens 69.7%
Neutral zone
Stephens 68.6%
Result
Mitchell Stephens favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
Stephens
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Stephens
Lafferty
Last 7: Stephens 5-2 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
2
0
Stephens
Lafferty
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stephens
Lafferty
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephens
2
1
Stephens
Lafferty
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephens
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (795)
47.9% (1,417)
+6.6%
Power Play
21.4% (14)
45.7% (46)
-24.3%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (178)
43.5% (184)
+3.7%
On power play, Lafferty has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Stephens is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (279).
Stephens shoots right. Lafferty is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Stephens
Lafferty
Home
54.1% (471)
47.3% (833)
Away
51.3% (517)
47.4% (814)
By Period
Stephens
Lafferty
P1
53.6%
49.4%
P2
50.7%
43.1%
P3
54.3%
49.6%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
52.6%
Lafferty
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 05:07 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 02:19 | Offensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 08:50 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 19:27 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 09:57 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 15:48 | Offensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 03:53 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |