Mitchell Stephens vs Tomas Nosek
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephens on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephens 52.4% vs Nosek 53.6% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 65.6%
Defensive zone
Nosek 52.1%
Neutral zone
Nosek 62.0%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Stephens
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Stephens
Nosek
Last 9: Stephens 5-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
2
Stephens
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
4
0
Stephens
Nosek
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
2
Stephens
Nosek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephens
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (795)
54.9% (2,710)
-0.4%
Power Play
21.4% (14)
45.8% (48)
-24.4%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (178)
47.2% (428)
+0.0%
On power play, Nosek has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Stephens is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (709).
Stephens shoots right. Nosek is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,227).
Home / Away
Stephens
Nosek
Home
54.1% (471)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
51.3% (517)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Stephens
Nosek
P1
53.6%
52.2%
P2
50.7%
54.1%
P3
54.3%
54.7%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
52.6%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 08:31 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:28 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 02:19 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 05:23 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 15:38 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 00:07 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 12:46 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |