Scouting Report
Morgan Barron holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Barron on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacLean wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — Barron shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 44.7% vs Barron 47.9% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barron 50.2%
Defensive zone
MacLean 55.5%
Neutral zone
MacLean 52.9%
Result
Kyle MacLean favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
MacLean
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
MacLean
Barron
Last 6: MacLean 1-5 Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barron
0
2
MacLean
Barron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
0
1
MacLean
Barron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barron
1
2
MacLean
Barron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (238)
45.8% (118)
-3.4%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
100.0% (1)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
46.7% (15)
-26.7%
On penalty kill, Barron has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. MacLean is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (157).
MacLean shoots left. Barron is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (85).
Home / Away
MacLean
Barron
Home
41.4% (128)
48.4% (64)
Away
43.7% (119)
44.3% (70)
By Period
MacLean
Barron
P1
49.3%
52.1%
P2
41.6%
46.4%
P3
37.6%
37.9%
Final 5 min
41.0%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
60.0%▲
54.0%
42.5%
Barron
38.0%▼
43.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 02:53 | Offensive | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 12:57 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 09:11 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 05:22 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 05:18 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |