Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barron 48.0% vs Hischier 52.7% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barron 64.8%
Defensive zone
Barron 91.5%
Neutral zone
Barron 77.6%
Result
Morgan Barron favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Barron
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Barron
Hischier
Last 6: Barron 1-5 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
4
Barron
Hischier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Barron
Hischier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barron
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (741)
51.6% (8,444)
-2.2%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
59.9% (1,749)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (222)
49.3% (918)
-7.0%
On power play, Hischier has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Barron is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Barron shoots left. Hischier is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,097).
Home / Away
Barron
Hischier
Home
45.2% (480)
53.0% (5,477)
Away
50.3% (489)
52.4% (5,634)
By Period
Barron
Hischier
P1
48.0%
52.9%
P2
50.7%
52.6%
P3
44.7%
52.7%
OT
25.0%
50.6%
Final 5 min
46.5%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barron
44.0%▲
41.5%
47.8%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 14:00 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 04:32 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 02:12 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 17:39 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 3 | 06:43 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |