Scouting Report
Morgan Barron holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Barron on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Barron wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barron 46.8% vs Hartman 45.6% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 69.0%
Defensive zone
Barron 82.6%
Neutral zone
Barron 50.7%
Result
Morgan Barron favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Barron
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Barron
Hartman
Last 7: Barron 6-1 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
4
1
Barron
Hartman
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barron
2
0
Barron
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barron
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (381)
45.1% (874)
+3.5%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
47.4% (95)
-14.1%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (187)
37.5% (16)
+4.2%
On power play, Hartman has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Barron is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Barron shoots left. Hartman is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Barron
Hartman
Home
44.4% (306)
45.0% (515)
Away
48.3% (265)
45.3% (470)
By Period
Barron
Hartman
P1
45.5%
47.3%
P2
49.8%
40.1%
P3
43.1%
48.3%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barron
44.0%▲
41.5%
46.2%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 17:18 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 08:29 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 09:05 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 12:27 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |