Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barron 48.0% vs Steel 50.2% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 75.4%
Defensive zone
Barron 70.4%
Neutral zone
Steel 61.9%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Barron
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Barron
Steel
Last 5: Barron 2-3 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barron
2
0
Barron
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barron
Steel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
1
2
Barron
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barron
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (741)
50.6% (2,876)
-1.2%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
62.6% (179)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (222)
37.4% (254)
+4.9%
On power play, Steel has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Barron is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Barron shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Barron
Steel
Home
45.2% (480)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
50.3% (489)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Barron
Steel
P1
48.0%
51.9%
P2
50.7%
49.5%
P3
44.7%
49.6%
OT
25.0%
41.9%
Final 5 min
46.5%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barron
44.0%▲
41.5%
47.8%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 09:24 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 02:48 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 08:01 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 12:29 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 12:26 | Offensive | Morgan Barron |