Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 51.9% vs Frost 50.6% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 18-10 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 63.6%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 95.4%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 77.1%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Cizikas
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
10
(28 meetings)
18
10
Cizikas
Frost
Last 10: Cizikas 5-5 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
3
6
Cizikas
Frost
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
7
1
Cizikas
Frost
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
8
3
Cizikas
Frost
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (8,976)
49.7% (3,652)
+3.8%
Power Play
55.4% (177)
55.4% (632)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,896)
55.0% (40)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Cizikas is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,167).
Cizikas shoots left. Frost is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,843).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Frost
Home
53.8% (5,529)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
50.1% (5,521)
49.8% (2,223)
By Period
Cizikas
Frost
P1
53.1%
51.2%
P2
51.1%
51.3%
P3
51.8%
48.8%
OT
50.0%
64.9%
Final 5 min
50.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
51.9%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 18:05 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 12:48 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 09:48 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 09:50 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 11:51 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 14:16 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 09:21 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 00:32 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 05:14 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 05:05 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 04:25 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 01:50 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 3 | 05:36 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 19:42 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 1 | 03:14 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 01:43 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 15:35 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 18:34 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |