Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 13 meetings). Giroux wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.9% vs Frost 50.5% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 15-5 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 87.0%
Defensive zone
Giroux 98.1%
Neutral zone
Giroux 92.7%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 95.1%
95.1%
4.9%
Giroux
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
5
(20 meetings)
15
5
Giroux
Frost
Last 10: Giroux 8-2 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
4
Giroux
Frost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
12
1
Giroux
Frost
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
3
0
Giroux
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,886)
49.6% (3,642)
+6.2%
Power Play
60.5% (4,081)
55.5% (631)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (2,528)
55.0% (40)
+2.5%
On even strength, Giroux has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Giroux is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (14,401).
Giroux shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,481).
Home / Away
Giroux
Frost
Home
59.2% (10,265)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
54.6% (10,270)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Giroux
Frost
P1
57.5%
51.1%
P2
56.2%
51.3%
P3
57.3%
48.7%
OT
51.5%
64.9%
Final 5 min
58.5%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
56.9%
Frost
68.0%▲
62.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 19:06 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 02:34 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 14, 2024 | OT | 01:40 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 12:32 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 05:16 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 09:40 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 15:41 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:23 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 14:07 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 19:22 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 12:13 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 06:42 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 18:28 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 15:05 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 16:08 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |